Posted by AzBlueMeanie:
Two new polls out this week demonstrate that the Tea-Publican governing-by-extortion strategy of taking the country hostage and shutting down the federal government, coupled with threatening to default on the full faith and credit of the United States has been devastating to the GOP. Will they learn their lesson? Nah.
This new poll from CNN is devastating to the GOP.
While President Obama is under water on his approval rating at 44 percent to 52 percent disapprove, the approval of Congress remains in the ocean depths at 12 percent.
The CNN poll finds that Americans have more confidence in President Obama than the Republicans to deal with the major issues facing the country by 44-31. Among moderates, those numbers are 51-24; among indys they are 34-30; even 21 percent of Conservatives approve. Obama leads across all demographics by age, race, sex, education, income and region. Obama's lead among white (40-33) seniors (47-30), critical to the GOP in the midterm electorate, portends real trouble for the GOP.
Critically, the CNN poll finds that 54 percent of Americans think continued GOP control of the House is bad for the country, including 59 percent of moderates and 53 percent of independents; even 32 percent of Conservatives say it is bad for the country. This negative view of the GOP holds across all demographics by age, race, sex, education, income and region. This negative view of the GOP among white (49-43) seniors (56-39) portends real trouble for the GOP. (Only the 65+ age group is evenly divided).
The CNN poll asked some granular questions about the Affordable Care Act aka "ObamaCare" that most polls do not. 41 percent approve and another 12 percent say ObamaCare is not liberal enough. Only 38 percent oppose ObamaCare as too liberal. By asking the granular questions rather than the error-prone approve or diapprove dichotomy that distorts results, the poll produced a more accurate result.
The TanMan, Weeper of the House John Boehner, finds no love in this poll. 63 percent of poll respondents want to see him replaced as Speaker.
The new Washington Post-ABC News poll is just as devastating to the GOP.
While President Obama approval is slightly under water at 48 percent to 49 percent disapprove, the approval of Congress remains in the ocean depths at 12 percent.
When asked as a "favorable impression" question, President Obama actually enjoys a 50-48 favorability rating, Democrats have a 46 percent favorability rating, Republicans have a dismal 32 percent favorability rating, and the Tea Party has a 26 percent favorability rating. Who are these dead-enders?
A telling question, "Do you approve or disapprove of the way your own representative to the U.S. House of Representatives in Congress is handling his or her job?," produced the result that 43 percent approve and 47 percent disapprove. Typically voters say they hate Congress, but love their own congressman.
A more telling question, "Are you inclined to vote to re-elect your representative in Congress, or are you inclined to look around for someone else to vote for?," produced this stunning result: 66 percent said look around to only 24 percent reelect. This portends real trouble for the GOP.
In fact, in the generic ballot question if the election were held today, 49 percent said they would vote for the Democratic candidate and only 38 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate. That spells a Democratic "wave" election if the election were next month, not a year from now. This would be a historic reversal of the typical midterm election. What recent polls suggest is that the "conventional wisdom" of historical patterns in midterm eelctions is unlikely to hold true in 2014. So media villagers should stop relying on the predictive value of past midterm elections.
40 percent of voters self-identify as Independent (they are lying, all but a small number are "leaners"; this question needs to be more granular), 30 percent of voters self-identify as Democrats, and only 24 percent of voters self-identify as Republicans.
The poll asked the question of who do you think "is more interested in doing what's best for the country or what's best for himself politically?" 52 percent said President Obama is doing what's best for the country, 34 percent said Democrats are doing what's best for the country, and a dismal 20 percent said Republicans are doing what's best for the country.
This reflects the 81 percent who disapprove of the federal government shutdown, and the 53 percent who blame the Republicans for the shutdown. 86 percent say the shutdown damaged the reputation of the United States internationally, and 80 percent say the shutdown has damaged the U.S. economy.
On the question of negotiations over the federal budget, 43 percent approve how Obama has conducted negotiations, and 36 percent approve how Democrats have conducted negotations, but only 21 percent approve of how Republicans conducted negotiations.
On the question of who do you trust to do a better job in finding the right balance cutting government spending, President Obama enjoys a 47-36 advantage over Republicans. Poll respondents also reject the GOP position of cut government spending only, and favor President Obama's balanced approach of additional revenues and budget cuts by 59-37 percent.
UPDATE: Supplemental data from new CNN/ORC poll has more interesting results.
On the question of whether most members of one political party or the other deserve reelection, while Democrats are under water at 42-52 percent "no," a whopping 75-20 percent of poll respondents say that Republicans do not deserve reelection.
You have to temper this with the question whether the representative in your congressional district should be reelected. Here the typical response holds true: 46 percent say yes and 39 percent say no.
While 52 percent of poll respondents view the Democrats as "generally mainstream," 56 percent of poll repsondents view the GOP as "too extreme." 60 percent view the Tea Party as "too extreme."
On the generic ballot question if the election were held today, 50 percent said they would vote for the Democratic candidate and only 41 percent said they would vote for the Republican candidate. Democrats lead across all demographics by age, race, sex, education, income and region. The typical GOP advantage among white voters is now evenly divided (45-45) and Democrats lead among seniors (51-40). This portends real trouble for the GOP.