Latino Decisions weekly tracking poll: Latinos are more enthusiastic and more likely to vote

Posted by AzblueMeanie:

The latest Latino Decisions weekly tracking poll finds 8 percent of Latinos have already voted early, enthusiasm up again in final week:

The latest impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll shows that Latinos are more enthusiastic and more likely to vote than ten weeks ago when the initial poll was fielded.  Forty-five percent of Latino voters say they are more enthusiastic about voting in 2012 compared to 2008.  That number is up from 37% from ten weeks ago when the initial impreMedia-Latino Decisions tracking poll was fielded.  Furthermore, 87% of Latino voters say they are almost certain they will vote on November 6^th, which includes 8% of Latino voters have already voted.  In 2008, 84% of Latino registered voters cast a ballot according to Census statistics.

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Overall, Obama has the support of 73% of all Latino registered voters, compared to 21% who favor Romney.  The 52-point gap matches the largest gap among Latinos this year, also found in the October 1 tracking poll.

For the ten weeks the impreMedia-Latino Decisions poll has been taken the most important issue for Latinos consistently has been the economy and the latest release revealed that Romney and the Republican party have been unable to convince Latino voters that they will be better at improving the it.  Seventy-three percent of Latino voters trust Obama and the Democrats to make the right decisions to improve the economy compared to only 18% that trust Romney and the Republicans.

“The poll shows that this year we can anticipate record participation among Latino voters,” said Monica Lozano, CEO of impreMedia “However, Latinos are also realistic about what it will take to make real progress on the issues they care about, especially given the lack of cooperation  among our elected representatives in Congress.”

Over the past weeks the number of Latinos who say they are certain to vote has gone from 81% to 84% and now 87%.  At the same time, the percent who say they are more enthusiastic in 2012 has grown from 36% to 40% and now 45%. The percent who describe themselves as “very enthusiastic” has gone from 51% to 56% to 59% in the last three weeks.

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Next Monday, November 5, impreMedia and Latino Decisions will release the final weekly tracking poll, including in-depth analysis of likely voters, Latinos in battleground states, and the final LD Vote Predict model by statistician Dr. Justin Gross.