It's time for another Irresponsible Speculation™!
Today the subject that flies to everyone's lips is the scandal in search of a -gate; the firing of 8 US Attorneys, apparently for political reasons. The situation looks dire (the author rubs in his hands hamster-fashion in the universal gesture of evil delight) for the Administration as they prepare to square off with Congress over that body's subpoena power. With the Administration's Dr. Goebbels already on record on the constitutional issues involved, things do not look good for the President. As they always say in Washington circles, it's not the crime that gets you, it's the cover-up.
In this case, the cover-up appears to be a doozy, possibly going to the political heart of the Administration, Karl Rove. The document dump that the Administration performed to try to stave off Congress appears to have an 18 day gap in it at the exact time the decision was made to bump off insufficiently Bushie USA's. But really, what does it matter who came up with the idea?
Until now, this is all simple well-known facts. Where, you might ask, is the Irresponsible Speculation™ you've come to expect? Here we go...
This is it. The proverbial final straw. The Democratic Congress has been bending over backward to avoid confrontation with the Presidency, but it is just not in the nature of this Administration to leave well-enough alone. They have to push it. This time they are pushing on the Congress', and by extension the peoples', right to know. This is an assertion of Constitutional chutzpah that Congress cannot ignore and cannot accept if they wish to remain a coequal branch. The same could be said about several abuses of the rule of law by this President, but those were quiet back-alley muggings of the Constitution, stealing subtle principles most people, in their ignorance, won't miss. But this assault is very public, and seeks to steal away the fundamental right to question what our government is doing and has done. More importantly, the subject matter they seek to protect has no rational relation to national security or the 'war on terror' for the Administration to hid behind. Their claim of executive privilege is nothing more than the right to cover up a criminal conspiracy.
The last time Bushies pulled this stonewall trick was over Cheney's energy task force. The Republican Congress was unwilling to face down the President over the matter and let a very poor precedent lie in the DC circuit - the Democrats will have no such compunctions. In fact, they are going to have a ravening crowd at their heels urging them on. With the President's policies discredited and a majority of the public favoring impeachment, things will be different.
This may not bring down the President, though it certainly has the potential of destroying the icy reserve of the Democratic leadership who have so far resisted calls for impeachment. This scandal is a bullet aimed at Rove, but Bush or Cheney could easily become collateral damage. If Rove doesn't testify, the President is going to have 535 very pissed-off congress-critters of both parties to deal with, and likely the judicial branch as well. He won't be able to hold out long. If Rove does testify, and lies, he's going to join Scooter. If he testifies, and he tells the truth, he's almost certainly done for in this government. The calls for his resignation will be irresistible, along with anyone else in the chain of command on this dirty trick.
Ironically, this is the one scandal that won't roll off this Administration, even though at first glance it seems like the 'minor personnel matter' Alberto Gonzalez pronounced it to be. The reason this dirt will stick is because the plot is aimed at Bush's own appointees, and members of his own party - the Administration's long knives are pricking the Republicans' own constituency, something that they haven't felt until recently. Now it's not just Democrats who are getting cut, and Republicans are getting concerned.
The Scooter Libby trial gave the time and attention needed for it to sink into the public consciousness just how callous, puerilely political, and petty this Administration can be. The destruction of Valerie Plame harmed American national security for no other reason but petty partisan payback - even the most die-hard Bushie knows this in his shriveled little soul, and the knowledge burns. This yet-to-be-named-gate scandal drives home that every function of government, no matter how sacred a trust, no matter how apolitical, is only a means to advance a narrow political agenda to this Administration. And they don't care who they harm in the process. This scandal really drives home how fundamentally contemptible these people are. Nameless-gate may take several congress-critters down, too, but that's small change compared to the damage it seems set to do to the Administration. The longer this particular issue stays in the headlines, the more Republican support for the Administration will crater. The longer this Administration fights to defend the indefensible, the better I like it.
We've seen scandals that would have sunk any other President disappear from the media's radar within days, hours even, but this story has legs for every American. This is the one. I just heard a loud snap coming from the direction of that proverbial camel. Buckle your seat belts, we're in for a constitutional thrill ride in the coming weeks.
This has been an Irresponsible Speculation™.
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